Friday, February 9, 2024

PECOTA Me This

Baseball Prospectus did its PECOTA projections for the upcoming season yesterday, and, there is was, plain as day: Figures don’t lie, but figurers do. I mean, you don’t need a computer to pick the Twins, Braves and Dodgers to win their respective divisions, or the Yankees, Astros and Cardinals to join them. Once upon a time, a slew of baseball magazines would’ve done the same. I can’t help but think this is the baseball equivalent of generals fighting the last war, plus a dash of Yankees-bias. Put the folks at BP in a time machine and take them to February 1965, what are the odds they’re picking the Yankees and Cardinals in a World Series rematch? I’d say pretty good. Personally, I’m finding it more than a little hard to be a White Sox fan these days, what with the team looking to build a new stadium and no talk of financing, which is a sure sign that a sizable public ask is lurking around the corner. But thank you, PECOTA, for rekindling the fire, if just for one day. Sixty-six wins and last place in the AL Central? We just invited Danny Mendick to spring training. He makes the team, we’re good for 80 wins, minimum.

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