Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Buy the Book, By the Numbers


There I was, the oldest guy at the magazine rack, not looking at girlie magazines.  I picked up a Who’s Who in Baseball, underwhelmed as ever.  Why or why did The Baseball Register stop printing?  Who’s Who is like the NYT, deciding what’s fit to print.  E.g., nothing on White Sox outfielder J.B. Shuck, even though he batted .266 in 143 at-bats.  The Register included people with one at-bat, one inning pitched and less.  You could find a lot of minor leaguers in TBR, too.  Oh, well.

I also bought Lindy’s Sports Baseball for a second straight year, if for no other reason than to see what they would say about the Sox after predicting them to win the Central Division in 2015.  Answer—third place in ’16, with the comment “This is not a championship roster.”  Ouch.  At least they have the organizational arrow pointed in the up direction (seriously, and literally).

The things you learn these days.  Little did I know that Chris Sale led the Al last season with a 2.73 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), a metric that tries to strip away the effect of defensive play on pitching; the result is essence of ERA.   Of course, FIP should not be confused with ERA+, which compares the league to the pitcher, or ERA-, which compares the pitcher to the league.  Oh, did I mention BABIP yet?  That’s Batting Average on Balls in Play, something that Adam Dunn might have liked.  The funny thing here is I used a form of this stat years ago with Clare, when she was having a hard time adjusting to Bronco Ball.  This must be a case of great minds thinking alike.

I’m not a big metrics’ guy beyond WHIP, walks and hits per inning pitched.  That said, there’s enough old-time scouting stuff in Lindy’s to keep me reading.

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